http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=3054 examining transformative technology Wed, 03 Apr 2013 18:23:47 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.4 http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=3054#comment-851866 Fri, 29 May 2009 02:07:32 +0000 http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=3054#comment-851866 What if a system could be developed based on the principles of energy minimisation and shortest paths of network theory? It seems to me like an essential development, but one that would require quite radically different hardware architecture and software to optimise it. What if a system could be developed based on the principles of energy minimisation and shortest paths of network theory? It seems to me like an essential development, but one that would require quite radically different hardware architecture and software to optimise it.

]]> http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=3054#comment-851707 J. Storrs Hall Thu, 28 May 2009 19:45:17 +0000 http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=3054#comment-851707 Remember, the net present value of a human (what you would pay for an annuity equivalent to his salary) is more like $a million than the $10k you'd pay for a 10 teraops GPGPU machine. So you should have started in on that software a decade ago. Assuming you're a fast coder :-) Remember, the net present value of a human (what you would pay for an annuity equivalent to his salary) is more like $a million than the $10k you’d pay for a 10 teraops GPGPU machine. So you should have started in on that software a decade ago. Assuming you’re a fast coder

]]> http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=3054#comment-851579 Thu, 28 May 2009 10:41:41 +0000 http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=3054#comment-851579 Perhaps the h/w is here. But I'm betting this is like the Human Genome Project - that by waiting, the job will become that much easier because there will be more CPU BIPS to waste on sub-optimal algorithms. Perhaps Google will produce the first AI by lashing together all their servers (which are presumably I/O bound most of the time). I still think we should wait about 5 or 10 years to start in earnest. Perhaps the h/w is here. But I’m betting this is like the Human Genome Project – that by waiting, the job will become that much easier because there will be more CPU BIPS to waste on sub-optimal algorithms. Perhaps Google will produce the first AI by lashing together all their servers (which are presumably I/O bound most of the time). I still think we should wait about 5 or 10 years to start in earnest.

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