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The Next Really Big Enormous Thing

from the a-singularity-is-coming dept.
Robin Hanson gave an informal talk titled "The Next Really Big Enormous Thing", which argues that there are reasons, based on historical models to expect that the pace of change may increase soon. He seems to be trying to convince economists and social scientists to take our concept of Singularity seriously, and to start doing active research into what the effects might be. He has a paper giving some of the background and explaining the model on his home page.

He also says he's available to give the talk in other venues.

Know of any groups on the east coast that might benefit from this style of presentation?

5 Responses to “The Next Really Big Enormous Thing”

  1. butler Says:

    Beware! The link is to a Powerpoint presentation.

    I tried to follow the link to Robin's presentation and wound up getting snookered by Netscape for Windows into a promotion for a $30 plug-in. Not cool. Anyone care to put up, say, a PDF version? Thanks.

  2. butler Says:

    Your second link is broken (trailing double quote)

    Title says it all.

  3. Max2000 Says:

    Correct Link

    The correct Link to the paper is: http://hanson.gmu.edu/longgrow.html

  4. jbash Says:

    About the premise…

    Um, am I the only one who thinks that trying to fit a curve to this sort of thing is:

    • Hard to defend intellectually
    • Of minimal practical value
    • A distraction from actually trying to do useful things about technological developments and their social results?
  5. ChrisRoot Says:

    Re:About the premise…

    Trying to extrapolate the curve set by past historical events to encompass the coming unprecedented revolution does seem like a bit of a stretch. If the effect is to drum up some more interest in the social consequenses of coming technologies, though, I wouldn't say the effort was wasted, would you?

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